Don’t allow the intensity of Trump’s base supporters to mask how deeply unpopular he is with the country writ large. “Don’t be fooled by snapshot polls showing Trump beating Biden - which Democrats are hyping because, for now, they want us to think he can win. In a piece this morning, National Review’s Andrew McCarthy warns : “If is the Republican nominee, win going away. How can families create positive Instagram experiences together?įamily Center supervision tools allow parents to view who their teen follows and who follows them, manage daily time limits and be notified when their teen shares reported accounts, once Supervision is set up. ROB STUTZMAN: “I think he’s had a wobbly few weeks in communicating to donors.” MIKE MURPHY: “There are questions in Republican circles about DeSantis’s candidate skills.” Meanwhile, DeSantis continues to struggle with donors, as this NYT piece documents, and GOP strategists with no love for Trump continue to grumble on the record about his weaknesses: RON DeSANTIS in the average of national polls has widened to 27 points (52%-25%), and, yes, national polls at this point in a presidential primary are actually good predictors of the eventual winner. His campaign said it raised $12 million after the indictment. The more Biden is able to lay low and keep the spotlight elsewhere - on Trump, on MAGA, on GOP divisions in the House, on unpopular issues such as abortion bans - the more he is able to dodge scrutiny about his age and potential vulnerabilities on issues like crime, identity politics and inflation.Īll three of these metrics were pushed in the wrong direction for Republicans this week.įirst, Trump’s arrest in Manhattan solidified his frontrunner status in the Republican primary. Compare me to the alternative.” - has served him well since 2020. Is President JOE BIDEN still hiding? Biden is also unpopular ( 43% approval) but the adage he has also lived by - “Don’t compare me to the almighty. The more they dominate the national conversation, the worse it is for Republicans.ģ. Are national issues trending in the GOP’s favor? The threat from MAGA and the threat to abortion rights have repeatedly proven to be winning issues for Democrats in swing races.
Absent a reinvention that drastically improves his popularity among the small but crucial swing voters who have abandoned the Trumpified GOP, his strength in the GOP primary likely correlates with GOP disappointment next November.Ģ. Is DONALD TRUMP rebounding? The former president is deeply unpopular and has led his party to three losses in a row after barely winning in 2016. | Scott Eisen/Getty ImagesīAD SIGNS FOR THE GOP - If you want to assess the health of the Republican Party going into 2024, there are three big things to watch:ġ. Donald Trump’s arrest in Manhattan solidified his frontrunner status in the Republican primary.
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